{"id":48543,"date":"2020-03-08T15:55:51","date_gmt":"2020-03-08T07:55:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.url.com.tw\/blog\/?p=48543"},"modified":"2020-03-06T16:07:38","modified_gmt":"2020-03-06T08:07:38","slug":"%e7%96%ab%e6%83%85%e6%81%90%e6%85%8c-%e9%81%bf%e9%9a%aa%e9%9c%80%e6%b1%82%e6%8e%a8%e5%8d%87%e9%bb%83%e9%87%91%e3%80%81%e7%99%bd%e9%8a%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.url.com.tw\/blog\/?p=48543","title":{"rendered":"\u75ab\u60c5\u6050\u614c  \u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u63a8\u5347\u9ec3\u91d1\u3001\u767d\u9280"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size:16px;\">\u6587\uff0e\u6d2a\u5bf6\u5c71<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u597d\u5de7\uff01\u9053\u74ca\u4e8c\u4e5d\u4e94\u516d\u516b\u9ad8\u9ede\u3001\u90a3\u65af\u9054\u514b\u4e5d\u516b\u4e09\u516b\u9ad8\u9ede\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u4e5d\u4e5d\uff0e\u4e5d\u4e8c\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u6b63\u597d\u540c\u6642\u9762\u81e8\u4e09\u842c\u3001\u4e00\u842c\u3001\u4e00\u767e\u9ede\u6574\u6578\u95dc\u5361\uff0c\u9019\u6b21COVID-19\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u50b3\u67d3\u529b\u9a5a\u4eba\uff0c\u9632\u4e0d\u52dd\u9632\uff0c\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u6210\u70ba\u591a\u982d\u7372\u5229\u4e86\u7d50\u7684\u85c9\u53e3\u5462\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u6574\u6574\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u6bcf\u6b21\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u90fd\u6210\u70ba\u8cb7\u9ede\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u6703\u89ba\u5f97\u9019\u6b21\u7f8e\u80a1\u5c31\u7b97\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u50cf\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u300c\u62c9\u56de\u5c31\u662f\u8cb7\u9ede\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u9053\u74ca\u6307\u6578\u771f\u80fd\u8eb2\u904e\u6708\uff2b\u7dda\u5716\u7684MACD\u9802\u80cc\u96e2\u8ce3\u9ede\u55ce\uff1f\u5225\u5fd8\u4e86\u53f2\u4e0a\u9810\u6e2c\u7f8e\u80a1\u5d29\u76e4\u6700\u6e96\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u2500\u7f8e\u50b5\u5341\u5e74\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5012\u639b\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u4e8c\u25cb\u4e00\u4e5d\u5e74\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u8a0e\u8ad6\u6700\u71b1\u70c8\u7684\u8b70\u984c\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#FF8C00;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">COVID-19<\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2&nbsp; 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<\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u4e2d\u570b\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u66f4\u751a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u7121\u7368\u6709\u5076\u7684\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u50b3\u4f86\u7684\u8757\u87f2\u5df2\u7d93\u8086\u8650\u4e86\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u5165\u4fb5\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\uff0c\u5f88\u503c\u5f97\u89c0\u5bdf\u3002\u70ba\u4e86\u914d\u5408\u5317\u4eac\u4e0b\u9054\u7684\u5c01\u57ce\u4ee4\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5883\u5167\u7684\u8d85\u5e02\u4e0a\u67b6\u5546\u54c1\u5e7e\u4e4e\u662f\u6a6b\u6383\u7684\u6e05\u5009\u6436\u8cfc\uff0c\u6c11\u751f\u7528\u54c1\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u6709\u7565\u7565\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u7576\u7136\u9019\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u662f\u77ed\u66ab\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5982\u679c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u79d1\u6280\u696d\u5fa9\u5de5\u5ef6\u9072\u7684\u96f6\u7d44\u4ef6\u6f32\u50f9\uff0c\u90a3\u6f32\u50f9\u7684\u5c64\u9762\u5c31\u6709\u9ede\u5ee3\u6cdb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u662f\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u9032\u6b65\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u96fb\u5b50\u6d88\u8cbb\u54c1\u9577\u671f\u7684\u964d\u50f9\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u6392\u9664\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6307\u6578\u53ef\u662f\u7de9\u6b65\u4e0a\u63da\u7684\uff0c\u65e9\u5c31\u9054\u6210\u4e86\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7684\u4e8c\uff05\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u90a3\u80fd\u5920\u7dad\u6301\u9577\u9054\u5341\u5e74\u7f55\u898b\u7684\u8d85\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u74b0\u5883\uff0c\u652f\u6490\u5341\u5e74\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u725b\u5e02\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u518d\u51fa\u73fe\u8757\u707d\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u6c11\u9280\u884c\u624d\u525b\u8abf\u964dLPR(Loan Prime Rate\uff0c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u5e02\u5834\u5831\u50f9\u5229\u7387)\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u6050\u6015\u6703\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u9b27\u975e\u6d32\u8c6c\u761f\u6642\u9084\u8981\u56f0\u96e3\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#FF8C00;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u75ab\u60c5\u64d4\u6182\u60c5\u7dd2\u5347\u6eab\uff0b\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u91d1\u50f9\u770b\u6f32<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u9019\u6b21\u75ab\u60c5\u8b93\u5e02\u5834\u9ad8\u5ea6\u9810\u671f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u9072\u65e9\u6703\u964d\u606f\uff0cCOMEX\u9ec3\u91d1\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6f32\u4e86\u4e94\u4e5d\uff0e\u4e94\u7f8e\u5143(\u6f32\u5e45\u4e09\uff0e\u4e03\u4e94\uff05)\uff0c\u56db\u9023\u967d\uff0c\u76e4\u4e2d\u6700\u9ad8\u898b\u5230\u4e00\u516d\u4e94\u4e8c\uff0e\u4e00\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u50c5\u6b21\u65bc\u4e0a\u8b49\u6307\u6578\u56db\uff0e\u4e8c\uff05\u7684\u6f32\u5e45\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u51f8\u986f\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u65bc\u9019\u6b21\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u64d4\u6182\u60c5\u7dd2\u589e\u6eab\uff0c\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7576\u7136\u9084\u6709\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4e2d\u570b\u5169\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7684\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u919e\u91c0\u4e86\u91d1\u50f9\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u6311\u6230\u4e00\u5343\u516b\u767e\u7f8e\u5143\u95dc\u5361\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e8c\u5343\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u6578\u95dc\u5361\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5341\u5e74\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u5927\u884c\u60c5\uff0c\u7576\u7136\u4e0d\u80fd\u773c\u775c\u775c\u7684\u6e9c\u8d70\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u9023\u53f0\u6307\u671f\u90fd\u6c92\u6709\u505a\u904e\uff0c\u66f4\u4e0d\u7528\u8aaa\u6d77\u5916\u671f\u8ca8\uff0c\u523b\u677f\u5370\u8c61\u5c31\u662f\u6d77\u5916\u671f\u8ca8\u6ce2\u52d5\u592a\u5927\uff0c\u7a0d\u4e00\u4e0d\u5c0f\u5fc3\u5c31\u5f97\u8ffd\u7e73\u4fdd\u8b49\u91d1\u3002\u5c31\u7b97\u4fdd\u8b49\u91d1\u653e\u591a\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u662f\u770b\u4e0d\u61c2\u8da8\u52e2\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u53c8\u4e0d\u57f7\u884c\u505c\u640d\u7684\uff0c\u4fdd\u8b49\u91d1\u653e\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u8f38\u5f97\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5f80\u5f80\u932f\u904e\u570b\u969b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u5176\u4ed6\u8cfa\u9322\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u597d\u5728\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u4f86\uff0c\u6295\u4fe1\u57fa\u91d1\u516c\u53f8\u767c\u884c\u4e86\u591a\u6a23\u7684\u570b\u969b\u91d1\u878d\u5546\u54c1\u7684ETF\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5143\u5927S&amp;P\u9ec3\u91d1ETF(00635U)\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7ba1\u9053\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#FF8C00;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u843d\u5f8c\u91d1\u50f9&nbsp; <\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u767d\u9280\u6709\u6bd4\u50f9\u88dc\u6f32\u7a7a\u9593<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u4e5f\u8a31\u6709\u4eba\u89ba\u5f97\u77ed\u7ddaCOMEX\u9ec3\u91d1\u90fd\u6f32\u9019\u9ebc\u591a\u4e86\uff0c\u77ed\u5957\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u592a\u5927\uff0c\u4e0d\u6562\u4e0b\u624b\uff0c\u6c92\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u6bd4\u50f9\u88dc\u6f32\u6c38\u9060\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u64cd\u4f5c\u8cfa\u9322\u7684\u4e0d\u4e8c\u6cd5\u9580\uff0c\u60f3\u642d\u4e0a\u9019\u6ce2\u907f\u96aa\u884c\u60c5\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u670b\u53cb\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7559\u610fCOMEX\u767d\u9280\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5462\uff1f\u7406\u7531\u6709\u4e8c\uff1a(1)\u9ec3\u91d1\u8207\u767d\u9280\u7684\u91d1\u9280\u6bd4\u4ecd\u9ad8\u9054\u516b\u4e5d\uff0e\u4e00\u516b\uff0c\u8207\u6b77\u53f2\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u4e03\u5341\u4e94\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u5957\u5229\u7684\u7a7a\u9593\u3002(2)\u4e8c\u25cb\u4e00\u516d\u5e74\u4e03\u6708\u82f1\u570b\u9000\u6b50\u7684\u4e8c\u4e00\uff0e\u25cb\u4e5d\u4e94\u7f8e\u5143\u524d\u6ce2\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u9084\u6c92\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bcCOMEX\u9ec3\u91d1\u5728\u4e8c\u25cb\u4e00\u4e5d\u5e74\u516d\u6708\u5c31\u5df2\u7d93\u7a81\u7834\u82f1\u570b\u9000\u6b50\u6642\u7684\u4e00\u4e09\u4e03\u4e03\uff0e\u4e94\u7f8e\u5143\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u5177\u5099\u843d\u5f8c\u88dc\u6f32\u7684\u6f5b\u529b\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u53f0\u80a1\u7684\u5143\u5927\u9053\u74ca\u767d\u9280ETF(00738U)\u628a\u63e1\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.url.com.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/04-\u5168\u7403\u7406\u8ca1\u89c0-COMEX\u767d\u9280.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"590\" height=\"324\" alt=\"04-\u5168\u7403\u7406\u8ca1\u89c0-COMEX\u767d\u9280\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48544\" src=\"https:\/\/www.url.com.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/04-\u5168\u7403\u7406\u8ca1\u89c0-COMEX\u767d\u9280-590x324.jpg\" style=\"width: 570px; height: 313px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.url.com.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/04-\u5168\u7403\u7406\u8ca1\u89c0-COMEX\u767d\u9280-590x324.jpg 590w, https:\/\/www.url.com.tw\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/04-\u5168\u7403\u7406\u8ca1\u89c0-COMEX\u767d\u9280.jpg 790w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 590px) 100vw, 590px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#FF8C00;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u4e16\u9053\u8d8a\u4e82 <\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u9ec3\u91d1\u8d8a\u503c\u9322<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5f9e\u6280\u8853\u9762\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u4f86\u770b\uff0cCOMEX\u9ec3\u91d1\u5f9e\u4e8c\u25cb\u4e00\u4e94\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u4e00\u25cb\u56db\u516d\uff0e\u4e8c\u7f8e\u5143\u4f4e\u9ede\u8d77\u6f32\uff0c\u6b77\u7d93\u4e94\u5341\u500b\u6708\u6f32\u5230\u4e00\u516d\u4e94\u4e8c\uff0e\u4e00\u7f8e\u5143\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u5df2\u7d93\u8d85\u904e\u4e8c\u25cb\u4e00\u4e00\u5e74\u4e00\u4e5d\u4e8c\u4e00\u7f8e\u5143\u6b77\u53f2\u9ad8\u9ede\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5230\u4e00\u25cb\u56db\u516d\uff0e\u4e8c\u7f8e\u5143\u4f4e\u9ede\u7684\u25cb\uff0e\u516d\u4e00\u516b\u53cd\u5f48\u5e45\u5ea6\uff0c\u642d\u914d\u7f8e\u570b\u4e3b\u52d5\u6311\u8d77\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u591a\u6578\u80a1\u5e02\u7d93\u904e\u5341\u5e74\u725b\u5e02\u8655\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u7f8e\u4f0a\u7dca\u5f35\u7684\u5c40\u52e2\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u5e74\u4ecd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u8d77\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u8207\u6b50\u76df\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u8b70\u96d6\u6709\u4e00\u5e74\u6642\u9593\u8ac7\u5224\uff0c\u4f46\u904e\u7a0b\u5fc5\u5b9a\u7dca\u5f35\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u9019\u9084\u4e0d\u5305\u542b\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u4eca\u5e74\u7684GDP\u8981\u4e0d\u8981\u4e0b\u4fee\uff1f\u4e0b\u4fee\u591a\u5c11\u5e45\u5ea6\uff1f\u5c07\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u570b\u7684GDP\u591a\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff1f\u7d9c\u5408\u4e0a\u8ff0\u89c0\u9ede\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u3001\u767d\u9280\u7d55\u5c0d\u662f\u4e8c\u25cb\u4e8c\u25cb\u5e74\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7576\u4e2d\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4fd7\u8a71\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c\u5927\u7832\u4e00\u97ff\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u842c\u5169\u300d\uff0c\u4e16\u9053\u8d8a\u4e82\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u5c31\u8d8a\u503c\u9322\uff0c\u66f4\u5225\u8aaa\u6b50\u6d32\u9084\u6709\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#FF8C00;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u7121\u4eba\u5feb\u905e\u8eca\u3001\u6d88\u6bd2\u8eca\u3001\u76f4\u5347\u6a5f <\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u7a81\u7834\u9632\u7dda\u8e8d\u9032\u4f60\u6211\u751f\u6d3b<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u4e00\u5834\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u6539\u8b8a\u4e86\u5927\u5bb6\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u6b65\u8abf\uff0c\u300c\u7aae\u5247\u8b8a\u3001\u8b8a\u5247\u901a\u300d\uff0c\u7121\u4eba\u5feb\u905e\u8eca\u7a7f\u68ad\u5728\u6b66\u6f22\u5e02\u8857\u982d\uff0c\u5728\u6307\u5b9a\u91cd\u9ede\u9632\u75ab\u91ab\u9662\u4e4b\u9593\uff0c\u5145\u7576\u5feb\u905e\u5c0f\u54e5\u88dc\u7d66\u91ab\u7642\u7528\u54c1\u8207\u751f\u6d3b\u5fc5\u9700\u54c1\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7121\u4eba\u6d88\u6bd2\u8eca\u5728\u8857\u9053\u4e0a\u4f86\u56de\u57f7\u884c\u6d88\u6bd2\uff0c\u7121\u4eba\u76f4\u5347\u6a5f\u88dd\u8f09\u7d05\u5916\u7dda\u6e2c\u6eab\u611f\u6e2c\u5668\uff0c\u6bcf\u5929\u5728\u5357\u4eac\u5e02\u4e0a\u7a7a\u6328\u5bb6\u6328\u6236\u7684\u5728\u7a97\u6236\u5916\u6e2c\u91cf\u4e26\u8a18\u9304\u8457\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u9ad4\u6eab\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#FF8C00;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u9577\u5bd2\u5047&nbsp; <\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u8001\u5e2b\u76f4\u64ad\u9060\u7aef\u6559\u5b78<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u66f4\u4e0d\u7528\u8aaa\uff0c\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u9577\u7684\u5bd2\u5047\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u5b78\u6821\u8001\u5e2b\u5145\u7576\u8d77\u7db2\u7d05\u76f4\u64ad\u4e3b\uff0c\u6309\u8868\u64cd\u8ab2\u8457\u9060\u7aef\u6559\u5b78\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u5b78\u751f\u5011\u4e00\u767b\u9304\u5c31\u4e00\u500b\u500b\u7684\u8b9a\u500b\u4e0d\u505c\uff0c\u4f46\u7562\u7adf\u5728\u5bb6\u5b78\u7fd2\u7684\u6548\u679c\u9060\u4e0d\u5982\u9762\u5c0d\u9762\u6559\u5b78\uff0c\u9019\u61c9\u8a72\u662f\u53f2\u4e0a\u5b78\u751f\u60f3\u5ff5\u5b78\u6821\u6700\u5f37\u70c8\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u5bd2\u5047\u5427\uff0c\u66f4\u4e0d\u7528\u8aaa\u9084\u5728\u5c45\u5bb6\u9694\u96e2\u7684\u5e7e\u500b\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u4e0a\u73ed\u65cf\uff0c\u60b6\u5230\u60f3\u5ff5\u4e0a\u73ed\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color:#FF8C00;\"><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u75ab\u60c5\u8513\u5ef6 <\/strong><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u5b85\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u71d2&nbsp; 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