{"id":42443,"date":"2017-04-07T14:10:43","date_gmt":"2017-04-07T06:10:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.url.com.tw\/blog\/?p=42443"},"modified":"2017-03-21T14:22:47","modified_gmt":"2017-03-21T06:22:47","slug":"%e8%ae%8a%e5%b0%91%e3%80%81%e8%ae%8a%e8%b2%b4%e3%80%81%e5%8f%a3%e6%84%9f%e4%b9%9f%e8%ae%8a%e4%ba%86-%e8%ae%8a%e8%aa%bf%e7%9a%84%e6%b0%b4%e6%9e%9c%e7%8e%8b%e5%9c%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.url.com.tw\/blog\/?p=42443","title":{"rendered":"\u8b8a\u5c11\u3001\u8b8a\u8cb4\u3001\u53e3\u611f\u4e5f\u8b8a\u4e86 \u8b8a\u8abf\u7684\u6c34\u679c\u738b\u570b"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u6c34\u679c\u738b\u570b\u600e\u9ebc\u4e86\uff1f\u8fb2\u696d\u5b78\u8005\u3001\u6c23\u8c61\u5c08\u5bb6\u8207\u7b2c\u4e00\u7dda\u8fb2\u6c11\uff0c\u5c07\u798d\u9996\u6307\u5411\u6975\u7aef\u6c23\u5019\u3002\u7576\u98b1\u98a8\u3001\u5bd2\u6d41\u3001\u66b4\u96e8\u767c\u751f\u5728\u8fb2\u4f5c\u6210\u9577\u95dc\u9375\u671f\uff0c\u6536\u6210\u5c31\u6703\u5927\u6e1b\uff0c2016\u5e74\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u5c31\u78b0\u4e0a\u4e00\u500b\u9738\u738b\u5bd2\u6d41\u3001\u5169\u500b\u5f37\u98b1\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a68\u5e74\u4f86\u6700\u71b1\u7684\u51ac\u81f3\uff1b\u6975\u7aef\u6c23\u5019\u7684\u6467\u6b98\uff0c\u8b93\u6c34\u679c\u8b8a\u5c11\u3001\u8b8a\u8cb4\u3001\u53e3\u611f\u8b8a\u4e86\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n

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\"3\"<\/p>\n

        \u6c34\u679c\u8b8a\u8cb4\u53c8\u8d70\u5473 \u6975\u7aef\u6c23\u5019\u82e6\u4e86\u8fb2\u6c11<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u5982\u611b\u6587\u8292\u679c\uff0c\u5230\u8ca8\u91cf\u8f032015\u5e74\u8dcc2\u22153\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5f9e\u4e00\u516c\u65a444\u5143\u98c6\u5230100\u5143\uff1b\u4e00\u5f35\u767e\u5143\u9214\u539f\u672c\u80fd\u8cb7\u4e94\u9846\u8292\u679c\uff0c2016\u5e74\u53ea\u5269\u5169\u9846\uff1b\u65b0\u5317\u5e02\u6c11\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u5403\u4e0d\u5230\uff0c\u65b0\u5317\u8fb2\u7522\u6279\u767c\u5e02\u5834\u53ea\u5230\u8ca8150\u842c\u516c\u65a4\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u4eba\u5206\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u9846\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u5f9e\u7a40\u7269\u96dc\u7ce7\u5230\u852c\u83dc\u6c34\u679c\uff0c\u6536\u6210\u5168\u90e8\u91cd\u632b\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4e00\u5e74\u4e00\u6536\u7684\u6c34\u679c\uff0c\u4e00\u6b21\u5929\u707d\uff0c\u5168\u5e74\u906d\u6b83\u30022016\u5e74\uff0c\u8fb2\u59d4\u6703\u767c\u51fa71\u5104\u5143\u8fb2\u640d\u73fe\u91d1\u88dc\u52a9\uff0c\u5168\u5e74\u8fb2\u640d\u7e3d\u984d\u9810\u4f30\u4e0a\u770b350\u5104\u5143\uff0c\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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        \u300c\u6c23\u5019\u9ed1\u5929\u9d5d\u300d \u8b93\u9810\u5831\u65b9\u5f0f\u5168\u5931\u9748<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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2017\u5e741\u6708\u5e95\u5728\u745e\u58eb\u9054\u6c83\u65af\u8209\u8fa6\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u7d93\u6fdf\u8ad6\u58c7\uff0c\u5df2\u9023\u7e8c\u56db\u5e74\u5c07\u300c\u6975\u7aef\u5929\u6c23\u300d\u5217\u70ba\u767c\u751f\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u5168\u7403\u4e94\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u66f4\u5347\u81f3\u7b2c\u4e00\u540d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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1850\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u5de5\u696d\u5316\u88fd\u9020\u51fa\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6301\u7e8c\u7d2f\u7a4d\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u9678\u5730\u589e\u6eab\u901f\u5ea6\u53c8\u8d85\u904e\u6d77\u6d0b\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u7dca\u9130\u6b50\u4e9e\u5927\u9678\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u6696\u5316\u5c24\u5176\u660e\u986f\u3002\u767e\u5e74\u4f86\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5747\u6eab\u5347\u9ad80.8\u2103\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u5317\u90e8\u5747\u6eab\u537b\u4e0a\u53471.6\u2103\uff0c\u5c07\u8fd1\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5169\u500d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u597d\u5947\uff0c\u300c\u4e00\u5929\u6eab\u5dee\u6709\u6642\u5c31\u8d85\u904e8\u2103\uff0c\u5747\u6eab\u4e0a\u53471.6\u2103\uff0c\u4f55\u9700\u5927\u9a5a\u5c0f\u602a\uff1f\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u300c\u6eab\u5ea6\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u9ad4\u73fe\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u7684\u65b9\u4fbf\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u300d\u4e2d\u592e\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40\u9810\u5831\u4e2d\u5fc3\u524d\u4e3b\u4efb\u912d\u660e\u5178\u89e3\u91cb\uff0c\u964d\u96e8\u3001\u96f2\u91cf\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u90fd\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u6eab\u5ea6\u3002\u5730\u7403\u7684\u7bc4\u570d\u5982\u6b64\u5927\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u6975\u7aef\u503c\u5df2\u51fa\u73fe\u6975\u5927\u6539\u8b8a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u800c\u7576\u820a\u898f\u5f8b\u88ab\u6eab\u5ba4\u6548\u61c9\u7834\u58de\u3001\u65b0\u6a21\u5f0f\u53c8\u5c1a\u672a\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f7f\u524d\u6240\u672a\u898b\u7684\u6975\u7aef\u5929\u6c23\u983b\u983b\u51fa\u73fe\u3002\u912d\u660e\u5178\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u591a\u500b\u6975\u7aef\u5929\u6c23\u73fe\u8c61\u96e3\u812b\u5de7\u5408\uff0c\u300c\u4f46\u6c23\u6eab\u5347\u9ad8\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u5de7\u5408\u7684\u767c\u751f\u6a5f\u7387\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6210\u529f\u5927\u5b78\u53f0\u7063\u6587\u5b78\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\u9673\u7389\u5cef\u5c07\u5287\u70c8\u5929\u6c23\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u50b3\u795e\u5f62\u5bb9\u70ba\u300c\u9bca\u9b5a\u9f52\u7259\u822c\u7684\u9707\u76ea\u6548\u61c9\u300d\uff0c\u300c\u9019\u500b\u5287\u70c8\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u4f7f20\u4e16\u7d00\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\uff0c\u7d71\u7d71\u4e0d\u7ba1\u7528\uff01\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u96a8\u6642\u7ac4\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u6c23\u5019\u9ed1\u5929\u9d5d\u300d\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5e74\u4f86\u6301\u7e8c\u6253\u4e82\u8001\u7956\u5b97\u667a\u6167\u5beb\u4e0b\u7684\u8fb2\u6c11\u66c6\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5168\u53f0\u679c\u6a39\u7684\u751f\u9577\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u5168\u90fd\u4e82\u4e86\u6b65\u8abf\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

        \u9707\u64bc1\u3009\u9738\u738b\u5bd2\u6d41\u7a81\u8972 \u6c34\u679c\u7d50\u51b0\u518d\u9000\u51b0<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u59822016\u5e74\u7684\u51ac\u5929\uff0c\u6574\u500b\u53f0\u7063\u5f77\u5f7f\u6d17\u4e86\u5834\u4e09\u6eab\u6696\u30022015\u5e7412\u6708\u4e2d\uff0c\u53f0\u5317\u9084\u9ad8\u905430\u2103\uff1b34\u5929\u5f8c\uff0c\u6c23\u6eab\u907d\u964d\u81f34\u2103\uff0c\u6d77\u62d4\u50c5800\u516c\u5c3a\u7684\u967d\u660e\u5c71\uff0c\u964d\u4e0b\u5927\u96ea\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40\u7d71\u8a08\u767c\u73fe\uff0c1\u670824\u65e5\uff0c\u5168\u53f0\u5747\u6eab\u50c57\u2103\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\uff0c130\u591a\u5e74\u624d\u767c\u751f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5bb6\u4f4f\u5167\u6e56\u5c71\u908a\u7684\u51b0\u5e97Ice Monster\u5275\u8fa6\u4eba\u7f85\u99ff\u6a3a\uff0c\u90a3\u5929\u8208\u596e\u885d\u4e0a\u5f8c\u5c71\u73a9\u4e86\u4e00\u9813\u96ea\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u624d\u610f\u8b58\u5230\u6050\u6016\uff1a\u300c\u6c34\u679c\u8981\u6eab\u5dee\u5927\u624d\u6703\u751c\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0b\u96ea\uff0c\u6839\u672c\u662f\u300e\u7d50\u51b0\u5f8c\u518d\u9000\u51b0\u300f\uff0c\u6bd4\u98b1\u98a8\u5f71\u97ff\u9084\u5927\uff01\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u5fc3\u76ee\u4e2d\u6700\u751c\u7f8e\u7684\u611b\u6587\u8292\u679c\uff0c\u4f86\u81ea\u5c4f\u6771\u678b\u5c71\u3002\u90a3\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u8292\u679c\u7684\u5357\u754c\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u5730\u5f62\u72f9\u9577\u9130\u6d77\uff0c\u6d77\u98a8\u7684\u9e79\u5473\u66f4\u63d0\u7149\u51fa\u8292\u679c\u7684\u751c\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u4e03\u6210\u5c45\u6c11\u9760\u8292\u679c\u70ba\u751f\u7684\u8292\u679c\u4e4b\u9109\uff0c2016\u5e74\u5c31\u906d\u9047\u4e86\u5169\u6b21\u7684\u6ec5\u7d55\u5f0f\u5929\u6c23\u7a81\u8972\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7576\u5730\u8292\u679c\u8fb2\u6c11\u5408\u4f5c\u793e\u8ca0\u8cac\u4eba\u9673\u660e\u8ce2\u8a18\u5f97\uff0c1\u670823\u65e5\u6e05\u65e9\uff0c\u8001\u8fb2\u5c31\u62ff\u8457\u6eab\u5ea6\u8a08\u5954\u76f8\u8d70\u544a\uff0c\u300c\u53ea\u67094\u2103\uff01\u300d\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u5687\u50bb\u4e86\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8207\u678b\u5c71\u7def\u5ea6\u76f8\u8fd1\u7684\u53f0\u6771\u5927\u6b66\uff0c1981\u52302010\u5e741\u6708\u5747\u6eab\u662f20.3\u2103\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4f46\u8292\u679c\u7684\u7406\u60f3\u6388\u7c89\u6eab\u5ea6\u662f18\u2103\uff0c\u7a81\u4f86\u7684\u5bd2\u6d41\uff0c\u51cd\u6389\u6b63\u5728\u62bd\u9577\u7684\u8292\u679c\u82b1\uff0c\u6c92\u6389\u7684\u5247\u8b8a\u6210\u7d50\u4e0d\u51fa\u679c\u7684\u300c\u7a7a\u5305\u5f48\u300d\uff1b\u5c11\u6578\u633a\u904e\u5bd2\u6d41\uff0c\u53c8\u88ab\u7dca\u63a5\u800c\u4f86\u3001\u9ad8\u905430\u2103\u7684\u5357\u98a8\uff0c\u70e4\u6210\u7126\u9ed1\u7684\u300c\u9165\u82b1\u300d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e00\u682a\u6a39\uff0c\u539f\u672c\u53ef\u7d50200\u9846\u8292\u679c\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u53ea\u9577\u51fa\u4e09\u3001\u4e94\u9846\u3002\u8fb2\u6703\u4f30\u8a08\u5168\u9109\u6e1b\u7522\u4e94\u6210\uff0c\u4f46\u7b97\u7b97\u8fb2\u6c11\u9818\u8d70\u3001\u4e00\u9846\u8292\u679c\u4e00\u500b\u7684\u5957\u888b\uff0c\u9673\u660e\u8ce2\u4f30\u8a08\u53ea\u6709\u5169\u6210\u679c\u5be6\u639b\u6a39\u68a2\u3002\u5fc3\u7070\u610f\u51b7\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ed6\u544a\u8a34\u4f86\u53f0\u770b\u8ca8\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u8cbf\u6613\u5546\uff0c\u300c\u514d\u4f86\u5566\uff0c\u6c92\u8292\u679c\u600e\u9ebc\u770b\uff1f\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7d50\u679c\u7269\u4ee5\u7a00\u70ba\u8cb4\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u8292\u679c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u767e\u8ca8\u516c\u53f8\u98c6\u51fa\u4e00\u9846\u53f0\u5e63400\u5143\u5929\u50f9\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

        \u9707\u64bc2\u3009\u5f37\u70c8\u98b1\u98a8\u8086\u8650 \u8fb2\u696d\u707d\u640d\u64f4\u5927<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

2013\u5e74\uff0c\u806f\u5408\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u5c08\u9580\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08IPCC\uff09\u5831\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6d77\u6c34\u6696\u5316\uff0c\u5c07\u4f7f\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u548c\u897f\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u71b1\u5e36\u98a8\u66b4\u66f4\u983b\u7e41\u51fa\u73fe\u3002\u800c\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u6b63\u4f4d\u65bc\u897f\u5317\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u98a8\u66b4\u7684\u8def\u5f91\u4e0a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6839\u64da\u4e2d\u592e\u8c61\u5c40\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u4fb5\u53f0\u98b1\u98a8\u6578\u91cf\u8207\u8def\u5f91\u4e26\u7121\u660e\u986f\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u5f37\u5ea6\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u30021958\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5e741.07\u500b\u5f37\u98b1\u4fb5\u53f0\uff0c\u300c\u53bb\u5e74\u9023\u7e8c\u5169\u500b\u5f37\u98b1\uff0c\u7b97\u662f\u7279\u4f8b\uff0c\u300d\u4f46\u9810\u5831\u4e2d\u5fc3\u524d\u4e3b\u4efb\u912d\u660e\u5178\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u98b1\u98a8\u591a\u4e86\uff0c\u5f37\u98b1\u6578\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u53bb\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u5f37\u98b1\u5c3c\u4f2f\u7279\uff0c\u7d50\u69cb\u7d50\u5be6\u5730\u649e\u9032\u53f0\u6771\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u6536\u6210\u7684\u91cb\u8fe6\u5168\u6bc0\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u500b\u5f37\u98b1\u83ab\u862d\u8482\uff0c\u98a8\u5834\u7c60\u7f69\u5168\u53f0\uff0c\u64e6\u649e\u5357\u3001\u9ad8\u3001\u5c4f\u679c\u5009\uff1b9\u6708\u5e95\u7684\u6885\u59ec\u662f\u4e2d\u98b1\uff0c\u4f46\u56e0\u70ba\u6a6b\u8cab\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u5728\u591a\u8655\u5275\u4e0b\u5f37\u98a8\u7d00\u9304\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5982\u5357\u6295\u57d4\u91cc\uff0c\u662f\u51f9\u5730\uff0c\u53c8\u6709\u4e2d\u592e\u5c71\u8108\u5c4f\u969c\uff0c\u300c\u53f0\u4e2d\u7684\u6771\u5317\u5b63\u98a8\u90fd\u6bd4\u57d4\u91cc\u7684\u98b1\u98a8\u5927\uff01\u300d\u832d\u767d\u7b4d\u8fb2\u8449\u6625\u7530\u534a\u958b\u73a9\u7b11\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u6a23\u4e00\u500b\u8fb2\u696d\u6416\u7c43\uff0c2016\u5e74\u9999\u8549\u6a39\u537b\u5012\u6210\u4e00\u7247\uff0c\u300c\u98a8\u597d\u50cf\u6703\u65cb\u8f49\uff01\u300d\u4f86\u81ea\u5357\u6295\u7684\u8fb2\u696d\u7acb\u59d4\u8521\u57f9\u6167\u77aa\u5927\u773c\u775b\uff0c\u624b\u7e5e\u5708\u6bd4\u5283\u8457\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5c4f\u6771\u678b\u5c71\u7684\u8292\u679c\u6a39\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f8b\u5916\uff0c\u633a\u904e\u4e86\u6625\u5929\u7684\u5bd2\u6d41\uff0c\u537b\u6c92\u633a\u904e\u590f\u5929\u7684\u98b1\u98a8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u53bb\u5e749\u6708\u4e2d\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u96f2\u7cfb\u6c92\u88ab\u4e2d\u592e\u5c71\u8108\u7834\u58de\uff0c\u5f37\u70c8\u98b1\u98a8\u83ab\u862d\u8482\u624e\u624e\u5be6\u5be6\u649e\u9032\u6046\u6625\u534a\u5cf6\uff0c\u678b\u5c71\u9760\u6d77\u7684\u512a\u52e2\uff0c\u9813\u6642\u6210\u4e86\u707d\u96e3\u3002\u300c\u7a2e\u8292\u679c25\u5e74\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u9047\u5230\u9019\u9ebc\u5f37\u7684\u98b1\u98a8\uff01\u300d\u9673\u660e\u8ce2\u9a5a\u547c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u7684\u5152\u5b50\u8a18\u5f97\uff0c\u7576\u5929\u98a8\u7a0d\u6b47\uff0c\u7236\u89aa\u7acb\u523b\u5e36\u4ed6\u548c\u54e5\u54e5\u885d\u9032\u679c\u5712\uff0c\u63ee\u5200\u5c07\u6240\u6709\u6298\u640d\u679d\u689d\u300c\u5243\u5149\u982d\u300d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u300c\u6211\u5927\u6982\u662f\u5168\u678b\u5c71\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u628a\u679c\u6a39\u679d\u689d\u780d\u5149\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u300d\u9673\u660e\u8ce2\u4e00\u908a\u8f49\u52d5\u624b\u81c2\u3001\u4e00\u908a\u89e3\u91cb\uff0c\u7576\u5f37\u98a8\u5439\u5728\u8302\u5bc6\u7684\u679d\u8449\u4e0a\uff0c\u6703\u626d\u8f49\u679d\u689d\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u6495\u88c2\u50b7\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u7dca\u6025\u8655\u7406\u50b7\u53e3\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5f15\u767c\u7d30\u83cc\u611f\u67d3\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u8513\u5ef6\u6839\u90e8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7531\u65bc\u780d\u679d\u5f8c\uff0c\u679c\u6a39\u8981\u91cd\u65b0\u62bd\u679d\uff0c\u6703\u62d6\u6162\u958b\u82b1\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u591a\u6578\u8fb2\u6c11\u614b\u5ea6\u89c0\u671b\uff1b\u4e14\u6839\u64da\u4ee5\u5f80\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u5929\u6c23\u653e\u6674\u5f8c\uff0c\u50b7\u679d\u6703\u81ea\u7136\u4e7e\u71e5\uff0c\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u780d\u3002\u6c92\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u96e8\u4e00\u4e0b\u5c31\u5341\u591a\u5929\uff0c\u6885\u59ec\u98b1\u98a8\u63a5\u8e35\u800c\u81f3\uff0c\u679c\u6a39\u50b7\u53e3\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u679d\u689d\u8fc5\u901f\u6389\u8449\u3001\u8f49\u9ed1\u3002\u9019\u6642\uff0c\u591a\u6578\u8fb2\u6c11\u624d\u958b\u59cb\u614c\u5fd9\u4fee\u679d\uff0c\u4f46\u679c\u6a39\u5df2\u5143\u6c23\u5927\u50b7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5f80\u5e7412\u6708\uff0c\u8292\u679c\u6a39\u5df2\u5b8c\u6210\u4e09\u6b21\u300c\u900f\u7d05\u300d\uff08\u5373\u6307\u62bd\u4e09\u7bc0\u65b0\u679d\uff0c\u65b0\u679d\u70ba\u78da\u7d05\u8272\uff0c\u6545\u6709\u6b64\u540d\uff09\uff0c\u958b\u51fa\u9ec3\u9ec3\u767d\u767d\u7684\u5c0f\u82b1\u3002\u4f46\u8ddf\u8457\u9673\u660e\u8ce2\u5728\u678b\u5c71\u5c71\u8173\u4e0b\u8292\u679c\u7530\u7e5e\u5de1\uff0c\u653e\u773c\u537b\u662f\u4e00\u7247\u7da0\uff0c\u4e5d\u6210\u679c\u6a39\u53ea\u9577\u51fa\u7b2c\u4e00\u7bc0\uff0c\u7a00\u758f\u7684\u679d\u8449\u6709\u5982\u5c0f\u5e73\u982d\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u8981\u6bd4\u5f80\u5e74\u665a\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u6536\u6210\u3002\u64d4\u5fc3\u4e0d\u6577\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8fb2\u6c11\u7d22\u6027\u6574\u5712\u5ee2\u68c4\uff0c\u53ea\u5269\u4e00\u7247\u93fd\u8272\u7684\u5012\u6a39\u65b7\u679d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

        \u9707\u64bc3\u3009\u6696\u51ac\u6253\u4e82\u679c\u6a39\u751f\u7406\u6642\u9418<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u7531\u65bc\u7576\u6a5f\u7acb\u65b7\uff0c\u9673\u660e\u8ce2\u7684\u679c\u6a39\u5df2\u7d93\u958b\u59cb\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u900f\u7d05\uff0c\u9032\u5ea6\u9059\u9059\u9818\u5148\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ed6\u9084\u6709\u53e6\u4e00\u5c64\u64d4\u6182\uff1a\u6696\u51ac\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7576\u300a\u9060\u898b\u300b\u8a18\u8005\u4f86\u5230\u5c4f\u6771\uff0c\u5df2\u662f2016\u5e74\u9686\u51ac12\u6708\u5e95\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u6b64\u6642\u5747\u6eab\u7d0420\u2103\uff0c\u9019\u4e00\u5929\u537b\u905426\u2103\u3002\u4eba\u5011\u7a7f\u8457\u77ed\u8896\uff0c\u6771\u5317\u98a8\u5fae\u5f31\u5439\u8457\uff0c\u9727\u973e\u4e0d\u6563\uff0c\u9060\u9060\u770b\u5927\u6b66\u5c71\u5f77\u5f7f\u9694\u4e86\u4e00\u5c64\u6bdb\u73bb\u7483\uff0c\u539f\u672c\u92b3\u5229\u7684\u5c71\u7a1c\u7dda\uff0c\u8d77\u4e86\u6bdb\u908a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8a31\u591a\u8ad6\u6587\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4f4e\u7def\u5ea6\u5340\u53ea\u8981\u5347\u6eab2\u2103\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u8fb2\u4f5c\u7522\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u30022007\u5e74\uff0c\u5b78\u8005\u5927\u885b\u2027\u6d1b\u4f2f\uff08David Lobell\uff09\u7b49\u4eba\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u6c23\u6eab\u6108\u9ad8\uff0c\u7389\u7c73\u3001\u5c0f\u9ea5\u3001\u5927\u9ea5\u4e4b\u7522\u91cf\u6108\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f30\u8a081981\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6696\u5316\u5df2\u9020\u6210\u6bcf\u5e7450\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u640d\u5931\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

2004\u5e74\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u7bc7\u7814\u7a76\u591c\u6eab\u8207\u7a3b\u7c73\u7522\u91cf\u7684\u8ad6\u6587\u3008Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming\u3009\u5247\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\uff0c\u4e7e\u5b63\uff081\u6708\u81f34\u6708\uff09\u65e5\u6700\u4f4e\u6eab\u5ea6\u6bcf\u4e0a\u53471\u2103\uff0c\u7a3b\u7c73\u5c31\u6e1b\u752210\uff05\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u53f0\u7063\u589e\u6eab\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u800c\u591c\u665a\u589e\u6eab\u901f\u5ea6\u53c8\u9ad8\u904e\u767d\u5929\u30021970\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u5e73\u5747\u53ea\u670970\u5929\u7684\u591c\u665a\u8d85\u904e25\u2103\uff0c2000\u5e74\u5f8c\u537b\u885d\u7834140\u5929\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u591c\u665a\u71b1\uff0c\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u5439\u51b7\u6c23\uff1b\u5c0d\u9700\u8981\u964d\u6eab\u6e1b\u5c11\u80fd\u91cf\u8017\u640d\u7684\u690d\u7269\uff0c\u537b\u662f\u81f4\u547d\u50b7\u3002\u300c\u690d\u7269\u665a\u4e0a\u7121\u6cd5\u4f11\u606f\uff0c\u5c31\u9577\u4e0d\u597d\uff0c\u300d\u912d\u660e\u5178\u89e3\u91cb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u53bb\u5e74\u9019\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u9673\u660e\u8ce2\u6b63\u5728\u679c\u5712\u88e1\u758f\u82b1\uff1b\u9019\u5929\uff0c\u4ed6\u537b\u5728\u5bb6\u6574\u7406\u96c6\u8ca8\u5834\u3002\u300c12\u6708\u9084\u8d85\u904e20\u2103\uff0c\u6a39\u8449\u6839\u672c\u7121\u6cd5\u300e\u7761\u89ba\u300f\uff0c\u600e\u9ebc\u958b\u82b1\uff1f\u300d\u4ed6\u6c92\u597d\u6c23\u5730\u62b1\u6028\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u539f\u4f86\uff0c\u679c\u6a39\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u51ac\u7720\u3002\u7576\u6c23\u6eab\u9010\u6f38\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u679c\u6a39\u505c\u6b62\u62bd\u82bd\uff0c\u8449\u7247\u8f49\u70ba\u6df1\u7da0\uff0c\u958b\u59cb\u5132\u7ce7\u904e\u51ac\u3002\u5f85\u6625\u5929\u8173\u6b65\u8fd1\uff0c\u679c\u6a39\u4fbf\u6703\u7526\u9192\uff0c\u958b\u59cb\u62bd\u82b1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6696\u51ac\u6253\u4e82\u4e86\u679c\u6a39\u7684\u751f\u7406\u6642\u9418\u3002\u9ad8\u6eab\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u679c\u6a39\u4ee5\u70ba\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u590f\u5929\uff0c\u5f88\u300c\u55e8\u300d\u5730\u62da\u547d\u62bd\u82bd\uff0c\u4e3b\u5e79\u4e0a\u6eff\u662f\u4e82\u7ac4\u7684\u5f92\u9577\u679d\uff0c\u628a\u958b\u82b1\u7d50\u679c\u6240\u9700\u7684\u80fd\u91cf\uff0c\u5168\u90e8\u90fd\u8017\u5149\u4e86\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u300c\u4eca\u5e74\u5927\u69822\u6708\u624d\u6703\u958b\u82b1\uff0c\u300d\u9673\u660e\u8ce2\u6273\u8457\u624b\u6307\u7b97\uff0c\u6642\u7a0b\u6bd4\u5f80\u4f8b\u665a\u5169\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u52306\u6708\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u8292\u679c\u4e0a\u5e02\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\uff0c\u300c\u53f0\u7063\u6700\u65e9\u4e0a\u5e02\u7684\u8292\u679c\u300d\u982d\u929c\uff0c\u5f97\u8b93\u7d66\u678b\u5c71\u4e4b\u5317\u3001\u53d7\u707d\u8f03\u5c11\u7684\u678b\u5bee\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u770b\u4f86\uff0c\u53f0\u5317\u89c0\u5149\u5ba2\u773c\u5df4\u5df4\u76fc\u4e86\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u611b\u6587\u8292\u679c\u51b0\uff0c\u53c8\u8981\u9072\u5230\u4e86\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

        \u9707\u64bc4\u3009\u7f3a\u6c34\u5371\u6a5f \u96e8\u60a3\u5be1\u9084\u60a3\u4e0d\u5747<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86\u4e09\u5927\u6709\u611f\u6975\u7aef\u5929\u6c23\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u919e\u91c0\u4e2d\u7684\u96b1\u5f62\u98a8\u66b4——\u7f3a\u6c34\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e09\u5e74\u4e00\u5c0f\u65f1\uff0c\u5341\u5e74\u4e00\u5927\u65f1\u30022015\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u6625\u96e8\u4e0d\u4f86\uff0c\u77f3\u9580\u6c34\u5eab\u84c4\u6c34\u7387\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u65b0\u5317\u5e02\u3001\u9ad8\u96c4\u7b49\u516b\u7e23\u5e02\u5206\u5340\u9650\u6c34\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u8a18\u61b6\u7336\u65b0\u30022002\u5e74\u4e5f\u66fe\u767c\u751f\u9650\u6c34\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u4e0a\u842c\u516c\u9803\u8fb2\u7530\u4f11\u8015\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5357\u6295\u57d4\u91cc\u7684\u832d\u767d\u7b4d\u8fb2\u9673\u65b0\u8c6a\u8a18\u5f97\uff0c2015\u5e74\uff0c\u56e0\u6e67\u6cc9\u51fa\u6c34\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u6eff\u7530\u7684\u832d\u767d\u7b4d\u7b49\u4e0d\u5230\u6c34\u964d\u6eab\uff0c\u8fb2\u6c11\u5011\u7adf\u70ba\u4e86\u6436\u6c34\uff0c\u5927\u6253\u51fa\u624b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7f3a\u6c34\uff0c\u53c8\u78b0\u5230\u9ad8\u6eab\uff0c\u800c\u9ad8\u6eab\u5c07\u9020\u6210\u66f4\u5feb\u3001\u66f4\u591a\u6c34\u5206\u84b8\u767c\u3002\u570b\u5916\u6587\u737b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6c23\u6eab\u4e0a\u5347\u5df2\u4f7f80\u5e74\u4ee3\u5168\u7403\u4f5c\u7269\u6240\u9700\u704c\u6e89\u91cf\u589e\u52a020\uff05\uff1b\u82e5\u4e7e\u65f1\u6301\u7e8c\u767c\u751f\uff0c2050\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u7269\u5c07\u6e1b\u7522\u4e94\u6210\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5728\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u96e8\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ea\u60a3\u5be1\uff0c\u9084\u60a3\u4e0d\u5747\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u912d\u660e\u5178\u5206\u6790\uff0c1951\u5e74\u81f3\u4eca\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u5e74\u96e8\u91cf\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u964d\u96e8\u6642\u6578\u537b\u6bcf\u5e74\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e09\u5c0f\u6642\uff0c\u96e8\u91cf\u66f4\u96c6\u4e2d\uff0c\u300c\u6bdb\u6bdb\u96e8\u5c11\u4e86\uff0c\u66b4\u96e8\u591a\u4e86\uff0c\u5c0d\u8fb2\u4f5c\u5f88\u4e0d\u5229\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u9ebb\u7169\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u964d\u96e8\u5730\u5340\u8207\u6642\u9593\u4e5f\u96c6\u4e2d\u5316\u3002\u53f0\u7063\u897f\u5357\u90e8\u5927\u7ce7\u5009\uff0c\u51ac\u6625\u4e7e\u5b63\u6108\u4e7e\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u6c99\u6f20\u5316\u7591\u616e\uff1b\u590f\u79cb\u6fd5\u5b63\u96e8\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u52d5\u8f12\u8c6a\u96e8\u3002\u5c0d\u9700\u8981\u7a69\u5b9a\u4f9b\u6c34\u7684\u8fb2\u696d\uff0c\u50b7\u5bb3\u7121\u6cd5\u4f30\u8a08\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

        \u6975\u7aef\u5929\u6c23\u8b8a\u5e38\u614b \u5168\u7403\u90fd\u8a72\u6b63\u8996<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6c34\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5371\u6a5f\u3002\u8fb2\u696d\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7528\u6c34\uff0c\u5360\u7e3d\u7528\u6c34\u91cf\u4e03\u6210\uff1b\u5c07\u6c34\u7528\u65bc\u767c\u96fb\uff0c\u52e2\u5fc5\u6e1b\u5c11\u8fb2\u696d\u7528\u6c34\u3002\u806f\u5408\u570b\u6c34\u7d44\u7e54\uff08UN-Water\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6c34\u3001\u98df\u7269\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u74b0\u74b0\u76f8\u6263\u3002\u300c\u6c92\u6c34\uff0c\u5c31\u6c92\u7ce7\u98df\u3002\u6c34\u8cc7\u6e90\u7684\u722d\u596a\uff0c\u6bd4\u7ce7\u98df\u5371\u6a5f\u66f4\u56b4\u91cd\uff0c\u300d\u524d\u8fb2\u59d4\u6703\u79d1\u6280\u8655\u9577\u3001\u53f0\u5927\u8fb2\u85dd\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\u76e7\u864e\u751f\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u9084\u6703\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u300c\u6c23\u5019\u9ed1\u5929\u9d5d\u300d\u55ce\uff1f2017\u5e74\uff0c\u5f37\u70c8\u8056\u5b30\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7406\u7576\u964d\u6eab\uff0c\u98b1\u98a8\u504f\u5f31\u3002\u4f46\u912d\u660e\u5178\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u8da8\u52e2\u5df2\u6210\uff0c\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u6eab\u6301\u7e8c\u589e\u6eab\uff0c\u98b1\u98a8\u751f\u6210\u6a5f\u7387\u4e0d\u898b\u5f97\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u518d\u770b\u66f4\u9060\u7684\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u8207\u672a\u4f86\u8cc7\u8a0a\u5e73\u53f0\u63a8\u4f30\uff0c\u4e16\u7d00\u672b2100\u5e74\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u5747\u6eab\u6700\u591a\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u4e0a\u53475\u2103\uff1b\u6625\u96e8\u5c07\u6e1b\u5c115\uff05\u81f315\uff05\uff0c\u4f46\u590f\u5b63\u964d\u96e8\u589e\u52a010\uff05\u81f330\uff05\uff0c\u4e7e\u65f1\u8207\u66b4\u96e8\u5c07\u66f4\u983b\u7e41\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6975\u7aef\u5929\u6c23\u4f86\u4e86\uff0c\u4fbf\u5b9c\u6c34\u679c\u56de\u4e0d\u53bb\u4e86\u3002\u6ef7\u8089\u98ef\u5f9e35\u5143\u6f321\uff05\uff0c\u5dee\u9ede\u88ab\u884c\u653f\u9662\u8acb\u300c\u559d\u5496\u5561\u300d\uff1b\u6c34\u679c\u50f9\u683c\u9577\u4e86\u5169\u3001\u4e09\u500d\uff0c\u96e3\u9053\uff0c\u8981\u8acb\u8001\u5929\u559d\u5496\u5561\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u6587\u2571\u9673\u82b3\u6bd3<\/span><\/p>\n

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